Election Update: Uncalled Senate Races

As of 6:00 AM Eastern Wednesday morning, Senate races in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada remain uncalled. All other races have been called for the incumbent party. This includes Wisconsin, where our results provider, Decision Desk, has called it for Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. That race has not yet been called by the Associated Press.

In Alaska, we know the winner will be one of two Republicans, Sen. Lisa Murkowski or Kelly Tshibaka. What isn’t yet known is whether the leader will exceed 50%, or whether the election will be decided via the ranked choice tabulation later this month.

Republicans replacing their party’s retirees include Katie Britt (AL), Eric Schmitt (MO), Ted Budd (NC), J.D. Vance (Ohio) and Markwayne Mullin (OK special). For the Democrats, it is John Fetterman (PA) and Peter Welch (VT). 

Battle for Control

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Including Alaska, Republicans have 49 seats, Democrats 48. The party that wins two out of three of Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada will control the Senate next year.

Note that if no candidate gets a majority in Georgia – which seems more likely than not – there will be a runoff on December 6. That means that if the parties split Arizona and Nevada, control of the Senate will come down to a Georgia runoff, just as it did in 2020.

Live results for the uncalled states are below.

As noted above, we know Republicans will hold Alaska, we just don’t know which Republican.