Disturbance takes aim at Florida
WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING TO BE TOO STRONG. NOW WE LOOK DOWN THE PIKE TO THE TROPICS. IT IS THIS AREA OF MOISTURE LIFTING TO THE NORTH. THIS WILL CURVE AROUND AND MOVE TOWARD THE PENINSULA. THIS IS WHERE WE ARE AT IN TERMS OF A TIMELINE. WHEN THAT HAPPENS, WE CAN START RUNNING MODELS. WE NEED IT TO START TO DEVELOP. THE FORECAST PICTURE STARTS TO FINE TUNE AND COME INTO FOCUS. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, WE ARE WAITING FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. BY WEDNESDAY, THAT’S WHEN THIS THING STARTS TO APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA. MOST OF THE MODEL TRACKS TAKEN INTO SOUTH FLORIDA AND THEN LOOP AROUND OUR AREA. THE TRACKS AND THE RAIN NUMBERS ARE PRETTY CONSISTENT, FIVE INCHES OF RAIN IS NOT TO BE WRITTEN OFF. THE THING THAT CONCERNS ME IS THE INTENSITY HAS STARTED TO TREND STRONGER. THE EUROPEAN IS MORE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FOR ALL OF US, BEACH EROSION, HEAVY DOWNPOURS MID TO LATE THIS WEEK. THAT’S WHAT WE ARE LOOKING AT. WE WILL BE TWEAKING THIS AS NEEDED. ENJOY THE SUNSHINE. STARTING ELECTIO
Tropical disturbance takes aim at Florida
Updated: 3:10 PM EST Nov 6, 2022
A tropical disturbance is creeping closer to Florida’s east coast and chances of development have risen significantly. The National Hurricane Center gives the system, which is located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea, a 90% of formation in the next five days and 80% in the next two days.”A subtropical or tropical storm is likely to form in the next day or so,” the NHC said. “Regardless of development, there is an increasing risk of coastal flooding, tropical-storm-force winds, heavy rainfall, rough surf, and beach erosion along much of the southeastern United States coast, the Florida east coast, and portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas beginning in the early to middle part of this week.”WESH 2 meteorologists say the latest satellite image shows a fairly unorganized system developing, and gradually lifting to the north.As it lifts north, it will find lower wind shear, warm waters, and a perfect environment for development. When looking at the GFS and Euro models side by side, they both try to develop Invest 98. The Euro keeps it as a tropical storm status, but the GFS brings it to hurricane status and makes landfall somewhere near the Palm Beaches or Treasure Coast. The initial timeline indicates late Wednesday into early Thursday for landfall.The concerns are growing for a fairly significant event at the beaches. After Hurricane Ian, so many dunes have been washed out, sea walls heavily damaged. Related: Tropical disturbance to bring rough weather to hurricane-torn Central Florida coastsIn Volusia County, officials issued a warning Thursday about the storm’s potential to threaten its coastline. They said residents living on the coast should keep a close eye on the disturbance and start preparing right away. County officials there said potential storm impacts include strong rip currents, high surf and breaking waves up to 12 feet.Emergency management director Jim Judge said because the coast is already so damaged and eroded from Hurricane Ian that “this new system heading our way can significantly threaten those properties with more erosion.”Further, officials in Volusia County urged residents and visitors to stay off of the beach this weekend into early next week.KNOW WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUEDStay tuned to WESH 2 News, WESH.com, or NOAA Weather Radio for storm updates.Prepare to bring inside any lawn furniture, outdoor decorations or ornaments, trash cans, hanging plants, and anything else that can be picked up by the wind.Understand hurricane forecast models and cones.Prepare to cover all windows of your home. If shutters have not been installed, use precut plywood.Check batteries and stock up on canned food, first-aid supplies, drinking water and medications.The WESH 2 First Warning Weather Team recommends you have these items ready before the storm strikes.Bottled water: One gallon of water per person per dayCanned food and soup, such as beans and chiliCan opener for the cans without the easy-open lidsAssemble a first-aid kitTwo weeks’ worth of prescription medicationsBaby/children’s needs, such as formula and diapersFlashlight and batteriesBattery-operated weather radioWHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUEDListen to the advice of local officials. If you are advised to evacuate, leave.Complete preparation activities.If you are not advised to evacuate, stay indoors, away from windows.Be alert for tornadoes. Tornadoes can happen during a hurricane and after it passes over. Remain indoors, in the center of your home, in a closet or bathroom without windows.HOW YOUR SMARTPHONE CAN HELP DURING A HURRICANEA smartphone can be your best friend in a hurricane — with the right websites and apps, you can turn it into a powerful tool for…
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