The Economist’s 2022 Senate forecast

On Jan 9, 2023

October 31st 2022: We have updated the methodology behind our
congressional forecast.

Read about the changes to our model

here.

Simulated Senate seats won

Each day, we run 10,000 simulated elections based on polling, demographics, fundraising and historical results. These statistics reflect the outcomes of those simulated elections.

Average prediction

Dem

Rep

4244464852545658

49.249.2 50.850.8

2020 Senate results

5050 5050

Democrats win
in 43
out of 100 simulations

…

The Economist’s 2022 Senate forecast

2020 Senate results

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