Why The Market Rally Could Use A Holiday; Tesla Rebounds, 5 Stocks Near Buy

Dow Jones futures rose slightly overnight, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures, heading into the Thanksgiving Day holiday.

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The stock market rally was positive for a second straight session. Fed officials see slower rate hikes coming “soon,” according to Fed minutes from the November meeting released Wednesday afternoon.

The Nasdaq led, buoyed by a rebounding Tesla (TSLA). The major indexes are all up solidly so far in this holiday-shortened week. But a longer holiday for the market rally could be constructive.

Investors should be cautious about adding exposure given key technical resistance and notable economic reports up ahead.

However, Dexcom (DXCM), UnitedHealth (UNH), Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX), Medpace Holdings (MEDP) and Shockwave Medical (SWAV) are five health care stocks showing interesting action.

DXCM stock and Neurocrine Biosciences are on IBD Leaderboard, with MEDP stock on the Leaderboard watchlist. NBIX stock and Medpace are on the IBD 50.

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures rose 0.15% vs. fair value. S&P 500 futures advanced 0.15% and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.2%.

U.S. stock exchanges will be closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving Day holiday. On Friday, U.S. exchanges will close early at 1 p.m. ET. But other exchanges around the world will be open normally on Thursday and Friday.

Remember that overnight action in Dow futures and elsewhere doesn’t necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.

Join IBD experts as they analyze actionable stocks in the stock market rally on IBD Live

Stock Market Rally

The stock market rally had some wobbles Wednesday, but extended gains, led by techs.

Initial jobless claims rose to a three-month high while continuing claims hit an eight-month best. S&P Global’s purchasing managers indexes for U.S. manufacturing and services both signaled contraction.

The Fed minutes reinforced expectations of a 50-basis point rate hike at the Dec. 14 meeting. Markets still favor another half-point move in February, but there’s a decent chance of a quarter-point hike.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3% in Wednesday’s stock market trading. The S&P 500 index climbed 0.6%, led by TSLA stock. The Nasdaq composite popped 1%. The small-cap Russell 2000 edged up 0.1%.

U.S. crude oil prices tumbled 3.7% to $77.94 a barrel. Natural gas futures jumped 7.2%.

The 10-year Treasury yield sank 5 basis points to 3.71%. The two-year Treasury yield, more closely tied to the Fed rate hike outlook, dipped below 4.5%.

The U.S. dollar fell significantly for a second straight session, back near recent lows.

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ETFs

The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) climbed 1.5%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) gained 0.9%.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) edged up 0.3%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) nudged 0.1% higher. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) climbed 0.5%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) fell 1.1%. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) rose 0.4%. Dow Jones giant UNH stock is the top holding in XLV.

Reflecting more-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) popped 2.9% and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) 0.9%. TSLA stock is a major holding across Ark Invest’s ETFs

Tesla stock jumped 7.8% to 183.20 on Wednesday, rebounding from Tuesday’s bear market lows as Citigroup upgraded the EV giant from a sell to a hold. TSLA stock is still down 19.5% so far this month and has roughly halved in 2022.

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Stocks To Watch

Dexcom stock advanced 1.7% to 112.92, finding support at the 21-day moving average. DXCM stock has been pausing this month after gapping up on earnings on Oct. 28. Dexcom stock arguably has a long handle with a 123.46 buy point from a seven-month consolidation. Investors could buy DXCM stock from an early entry off the 21-day line, perhaps using Tuesday’s high of 113.88 as a specific buy point.

Medpace stock fell 1.3% to 218.81 on Wednesday. Shares have been consolidating near record highs since skyrocketing 38% on Oct. 25 following earnings. Since then, MEDP stock has been forging a messy handle on a deep, yearlong cup base. While shares have had some big intraday swings, MEDP stock is currently on track to forge a three-weeks-tight pattern by Friday’s close. Investors might use the Nov. 15 close of 226.57 as an early entry, above the bulk of recent trading.

NBIX stock sank 1.5% to 118.97. Shares are consolidating near multiyear highs, extended from an October breakout. Despite a plunge to the 50-day line last week, Neurocrine stock has a three-weeks-tight pattern that’s on track to go for a fourth week. Technically, that has a 126.09 buy point, though investors may want to wait for some quieter action.

Shockwave stock popped 4.7% to 264.06 on Wednesday, back above its 21-day line but hitting resistance at the 50-day line. After a failed breakout in late October and sharp sell-off that…